REVIEW
Noninvasive prenatal testing: the aspects of its introduction into clinical practice
1 Pirogov Russian National Research Medical University, Moscow, Russia
2 Genotek Ltd., Moscow, Russia
Correspondence should be addressed: Dmitry O. Korostin
Nastavnichesky per. 17, str. 1, Moscow, 105120; moc.liamg@nitsorok.d
Acknowledgment: the authors are grateful for Ekaterina Shubina of Kulakov National Medical Research Center for Obstetrics, Gynecology and Perinatology for her valuable feedback.
Author contribution: Korostin DO conceived the review and supervised manuscript preparation; Plakhina DA wrote the sections about cell-free DNA and the regulatory legislation and helped to revise the manuscript; Belova VA wrote the sections about MPS-aided NIPT and the regulatory legislation and helped to revise the manuscript.
Fetal chromosomal aneuploidy is one of the primary causes of spontaneous abortion, accountable for 35% of all miscarriages [1] and occurring in 0.3% of all births [2, 3]. The most common aneuploidies are trisomies 13, 18, 21 and XXY.
Trisomy 21, or Down syndrome (DS), is observed in 1 in 800 births [4]. The risk of fetal DS increases with maternal age, starting to grow exponentially once a woman turns 34 and approximating an incidence rate of 1 case per 35 births in women over 40 [5].
Until the 1980s, a woman’s age was the only reliable prognostic criterion for the risk of aneuploidy; all pregnant women over 35 were recommended to undergo an invasive diagnostic test aimed to identify the karyotype of the fetus. For younger women, the only indication for invasive diagnostic procedures was a family history [6].
Today, the 1st trimester combined ultrasound and biochemical screening test proposed back in 1997 [7] is considered to be the most reliable prognostic tool with its sensitivity of 90% for Down syndrome and the false positive rate of 5% [8].
At present, only invasive diagnostic techniques are employed to diagnose hereditary pathologies of the fetus, including chorionic villus and amniotic fluid sampling. The obtained specimens of fetal cells are analyzed by QF-PCR, MLPA, G-banding, FISH, and molecular karyotyping [9].
Origin of cell-free fetal DNA
Cell-free fetal DNA (cffDNA) transcends the placental barrier and enters the maternal bloodstream [10]. Modern technologies can detect cffDNA in the maternal blood plasma as early as the 4th week of gestation. Its concentration increases throughout pregnancy, peaking in the last 8 weeks before delivery and then dropping abruptly to almost 0 in the first hours after birth [11– 15]. Cell-free fetal DNA originates in the placental trophoblast and leaks into the maternal bloodstream following the apoptosis of trophoblast cells [16]. The placental origin of cffDNA is corroborated by its presence in anembryonic pregnancies in which no embryo is formed, but placental tissue is in place [17], as well as in women with meiotic placental mosaicism (PM).
PM, which is essentially a discrepancy between the karyotypes of a fetus and a maternal placenta, strikes 0.6–1% of women who previously underwent invasive diagnostic procedures [18]. PM can be broken down into mitotic and meiotic types. Mitotic PM results from the chromosomal nondisjunction during one of the divisions of a diploid zygote that gives rise to an aneuploid cell line and leads to confined PM. As a rule, confined PM affects only a limited region of the placenta and can be defined as a low-level mosaicism. Meiotic PM originates from an initially trisomic zygote in which a rescue event occurs: the loss of an extra chromosome copy in the early stages of fetal development. Thus, even if the placenta is partially or fully aneuploid, the fetus can still have a normal karyotype, and vice versa.
Cell-free fetal DNA characteristics
Cell-free DNA molecules circulating in the maternal blood are chopped fragments of 166 bp (maternal cfDNA) or 143 bp (fetal cfDNA) in length [19]. Such size distribution is the result of nonrandom DNA fragmentation [20]. DNA is degraded by various enzymes that cut at the sites they can access. Nucleosomes represent the first level of DNA compaction. They are histone spools with DNA wound around them, spaced 20 base pairs apart. These linker regions can be easily accessed by nucleases. Therefore, we can assume that a 143 bp-long cffDNA fragment corresponds to a “linkerless” DNA coil wound around a nucleosome, whereas a 166 bp-long maternal cfDNA fragment corresponds to a DNA coil containing a linker region. The nonrandom fragmentation pattern can be explained by the difference in histone H1 isoforms determined by the placental or hematopoietic origin of nucleosomes. The main function of histone H1 is to bind to a linker; apparently, the binding does not occur in the case of cffDNA, and the linker is chopped off [19, 21].
The “sawtooth”-like size distribution of shorter DNA fragments with a peak periodicity of ~10 bp suggests that cell-free DNA undergoes further nuclease cleavage in apoptotic bodies at the position of approximately every 10th nucleotide directly attached to a histone protein [19, 22]. No similar size distribution is observed during the analysis of short reads mapped onto a mitochondrial genome that lacks histones.
It has been established that hypo- and hypermethylated regions of fetal and placental genomes do not match those of the maternal genome because of epigenetic difference between tissues [23, 24]. It is hypothesized [25] that unmethylated DNA regions are more accessible for cutting. Maternal cfDNA is hypermethylated, which means tighter DNA wrapping around histones, increased compaction and nucleosome stability, and longer average cfDNA fragment lengths in comparison with fetal DNA.
NIPT aided by MPS
Fetal cells, fetal cell-free RNA and fetal cell-free DNA are potential targets for liquid biopsy. Fetal cell-free DNA has a number of advantages that allow it to be used as a basis for noninvasive prenatal testing (NIPT).
On average, the fetal fraction amounts to 10% of total cell-free DNA at the gestational age when prenatal testing is performed. This value exceeds the number of fetal cells circulating in the maternal blood by 3–4 orders of magnitude.
The contribution of maternal microchimerism is normally negligible in comparison with the fetal DNA fraction. Cell-free DNA is more stable than cell-free RNA, and the methods used for its analysis are better reproducible.
NIPT can be described as a statistical examination aimed at estimating how well each chromosome is represented in a studied sample. Normally, the number of short reads per each chromosome of a nonpregnant woman is proportional to the length of this chromosome. The same is true for women who carry a child with a normal karyotype. However, in trisomies, as is the case with trisomy 21, the proportion of reads needed to cover all copies of the chromosome of interest will be increased relative to other chromosomes. The length of chromosome 21 amounts to about 1.5% of the entire genome. Given that the cffDNA fraction makes 10% of total cfDNA present in the sample, the extra chromosome 21 will cause a 0.08% rise in this value. To assess the reliability of NIPT results, different statistical methods are used, the most common being Fisher’s Z test. It is employed to investigate whether an increase in the read count per chromosome of interest is accidental. The actual coverage is compared to the expected precalculated value with due account of the standard error. Z is calculated by the formula:
Z = (x – μ)/δ ,
where A is the studied chromosome; x is the number of reads mapped to A in the analyzed sample; μ is the mean read count needed to cover A in the reference sample (normal control); δ is the standard deviation. The resulting Z score > 3 suggests trisomy; Z < –3 suggests monosomy, whereas a range of values from –3 to 3 are indicative of a normal karyotype [26].
The expected value is calculated based on the analysis of a cell-free DNA sample obtained from a diagnosed child.
During the analysis, maternal cfDNA is not separated physically from fetal DNA. This means that if a woman carries multiples, NIPT will be able to detect aneuploidy but will not point to the affected fetus.
NIPT outcomes are largely determined by the fetal DNA fraction. The higher is the proportion of fetal DNA, the higher is the Z value yielded by the analysis in the case of aneuploidy. The minimum fetal fraction needed for reliable NIPT results is 4% [27– 29].
Although methods for estimating the proportion of fetal DNA vary, they all share the same underlying principle, searching for significant differences between fetal and maternal cell-free DNA fractions. Such differences involve the presence of Y chromosome, which amounts to half of total cell-free DNA. This approach, however, can only be applied to women carrying male fetuses.
The universal and widespread SNP-based approach to estimating the fetal DNA fraction exploits a simple idea: one should look for those polymorphic loci where the mother is homozygous and the baby is heterozygous (due to the presence of the paternal allele). The polymorphic regions should be sequenced multiple times, and then the number of reads covering the paternal allele should be counted [30– 32]. The cffDNA fraction is then calculated by multiplying the proportion of such reads by 2. The following criteria are applied to SNP selection:
• minor allele frequency (MAF) of about 50%;
• SNP should be constituents of different linkage groups;
• SNP should not be under natural selection pressure.
By expanding the panel of target SNPs, one can even detect aneuploidies through comparing read counts per fetal and maternal polymorphic loci in a chromosome of interest. This idea was adopted by Natera to design a noninvasive prenatal test based on the analysis of almost 20,000 SNP [33].
Fetal DNA fraction can also be reliably estimated by calculating the proportion of differentially methylated genome regions in the analyzed cell-free methylome [34].
Because the lengths of fetal and maternal DNA molecules are distributed nonuniformly, the fetal DNA fraction can be determined from the ratio of fragments sized 100–150 bp to those sized 163–169 bp, since they correspond to the fetal and maternal DNA fractions, respectively [35]. This approach is effective in paired-end sequencing [36].
Another novel “nucleosome track” method of quantifying the fetal DNA fraction is underway. The idea behind it is that fetal DNA fragmentation is not random and follows a certain pattern determined by DNA packaging into nucleosomes, as described above [37].
Researchers are also starting to harness neuronal networks to estimate the fetal DNA fraction. Using large training samples (thousands of specimens with a known fetal DNA fraction), one can get reliable results by analyzing a number of certain sequencing parameters [38].
NIPT potential
NIPT is mostly used to screen for chromosomal aneuploidies, but massively parallel sequencing (MPS) technologies are capable of detecting other genome abnormalities as well.
Low and ultra-low (< ×1.0) coverage genome sequencing does not allow point mutations to be detected, but can be employed to screen for deletions and duplications [39]. Such strategy is used to perform prenatal genetic screening aided by high-throughput sequencing [40]. In most cases, NIPT data resolution is not sufficient to capture medium-sized (up to 5 billion bp) deletions and duplications; this problem can be solved by improving data yield per studied sample [41– 44]. Unfortunately, this adds to the costs of testing. More complex bioinformatic methods of data processing are a bit less effective [45, 46]. The amount of sequencing data yielded from the sites of interest can be significantly increased through targeted enrichment of genomic DNA regions. For example, the Panorama test [47] targets about 20,000 polymorphic loci densely located in the regions prone to microdeletions. The developers believe that the detection accuracy of the test is 97.8% or higher [48].
Since the moment cffDNA was discovered, the world has seen the emergence of various approaches to the diagnosis of genetic abnormalities of the fetus. The very first of them were capable of determining the sex of the fetus [49] and its Rh factor [50]; they were designed to screen for the sequences that do not typically occur in the maternal genome and exploited different PCR types, including qPCR, ddPRC, and QF-PCR. Later, the development of methods for detecting genetic traits inherited from the father became a routine practice: X-STR markers [51], markers of autosomal dominant conditions, such as Huntington’s disease [52] and myotonic dystrophy [53] were soon discovered. However, the majority of monogenic diseases are autosomal-recessive and their development is driven by the mutations in both maternal and paternal copies of the genome. Because of that, prenatal screening typically includes 3 sequencing procedures: sequencing of maternal and paternal genomic DNA required to identify parental haplotypes and locate the mutations of interest followed by cfDNA sequencing in order to see what chromosomes the baby has inherited [54].
The analysis of the cffDNA methylome has revealed the pattern of methylation that can serve as an aneuploidy marker [55, 56]. It has been shown that the placental methylome, which is what NIPT analyzes, is dynamic; the methylation pattern can change depending on the condition of the fetus and the mother. For example, the analysis of cfDNA methylation can be used to diagnose preeclampsia [57– 59].
Although there are a few disadvantages to using cell-free RNA as an analyte in screening tests (contamination by noninformative rRNA, poor preservation in the sample, low reproducibility of test results in comparison with cfDNA), changes in the expression of some RNA transcripts in the fetus can be a reliable predictor of preeclampsia long before a woman develops its symptoms [60].
NIPT validation
Like any other diagnostic technique, NIPT had to undergo clinical trials to prove its efficacy.
In 2014, a study conducted in 1,914 pregnant women from 21 US medical centers demonstrated that for NIPT the false-positive rate was significantly lower than for the standard biochemistry screening (0.3% vs. 3.6%, p < 0.001 for trisomy 21 and 0.2% vs. 0.6%, p < 0.03 for trisomy 18). The test failed in 0.9% of the participants [61].
A study published in 2015 compared the efficacy of NIPT with that of conventional diagnostic techniques [62]. It was conducted in 35 medical centers using the samples collected from 15,841 pregnancies. NIPT was able to detect all cases (38) of true aneuploidy in patients with fetal trisomy 21; in 9 patients the results were false-positive. For trisomy 21, DR was 100%, FPR was 0.06%, and PPV was 80.9% (the standard screening test used in the study returned 78.9%, 5.4%, and 3.4% for DR, FPR and PPV, respectively). NIPT performance was significantly better than that of standard screening in pregnant women with fetal trisomies 13 and 18. This means that NIPT can be used for detecting fetal trisomies in the clinical setting because it has better resolution and higher accuracy in comparison with conventional diagnostic tools.
Causes of false-positive results in NIPT
NIPT has a number of limitations that can cause false-positive results.
Maternal weight and gestational age
The amount of cffDNA correlates positively with the gestational age and is reversely proportional to the body mass index of a pregnant woman. Too few cffDNA fragments at 9–10 weeks into pregnancy do not allow NIPT results to be reliable. For women with high BMI, the test can turn to be ineffective as well, because the probability of a false-positive result remains high [15, 63] if cffDNA fraction is not estimated.
Placental mosaicism
Women who tested positive for aneuploidy by NIPT are advised to undergo an invasive diagnostic procedure to rule out placental mosaicism. Here, amniocentesis should be preferred over chorion villus sampling because the DNA in the villi has the same placental origin as cffDNA [64– 67]. It is absolutely not recommended to base the decision of pregnancy termination on NIPT results solely (see below).
Twins
Although NIPT can detect aneuploidies in twin pregnancies, it is unable to identify which of the twins has a chromosomal abnormality. Here, invasive diagnostic techniques should be employed. Despite the fact that the total cffDNA fraction is higher than in singleton pregnancies [68] and it is possible to estimate the fetal fraction for each of the twins, the accuracy of NIPT is lower than in the case with singleton pregnancies [69].
A vanishing twin syndrome occurs in multiple pregnancies when one of the fetuses dies in the first trimester. The frequency of aneuploidies among vanishing twins is higher than in healthy twins. Because NIPT analyzes total cell-free DNA and in the majority of cases cannot detect the presence of additional haplotypes in the samples, a vanishing twin can contribute to false-positive test results, being an aneuploid fetus itself; it can also mask the aneuploidy of the second twin, causing false-negative results and interfering with sex determination. The study that analyzed data yielded by over 30, 000 noninvasive prenatal tests demonstrates that vanishing twins with aneuploidies occur in 0.11% of the total sample [70]. This is quite close to the false-positive rate reported by an extensive meta-analysis of the literature on NIPT [71]. To avoid errors associated with vanishing twins and to timely detect the second fetus, ultrasound examinations performed in the 1st trimester should be more meticulous.
CNV in parents
It is reported that 17% of all false-positive NIPT results are associated with CNV 0.5 to 14 billion bp in size present in maternal cells [72].
Just like placental mosaicism, parental mosaicism can skew test results. For example, the frequency of monosomy X directly correlates with a woman’s age [74]; 16% of sex chromosome aneuploidies detected by NIPT are linked to the abnormalities of the maternal chromosome X [65]. The frequency of monosomy X varies from 1 : 3,300 (the proportion of mosaic cells is above 34%) [74] to 1 : 300 (the proportion of mosaic cells is 4% and above) [75], depending on the low detection threshold for mosaicism.
Tumors
NIPT results can be unreliable in pregnant women with cancer because cancer cells have an unstable genome, tumors usually produce a vast network of blood vessels and release a lot of cfDNA into the bloodstream [76].
Myths about the dangers of invasive diagnostic tests
Among the arguments for a more vigorous clinical promotion of NIPT lobbied by NIPT manufacturers is the risk of complications (including pregnancy loss) associated with invasive diagnostic tests: both amniocentesis and chorionic villus sampling are reported to result in pregnancy loss in 1% of cases [4, 77, 78]. However, other authors provide different figures on pregnancy loss following an invasive diagnostic porcedure: 1 : 200 for chorionic villus sampling and 1 : 300 for amniocentesis [79, 80]. These values are lower than the rate of spontaneous abortions [81].
Legislation and guidelines for NIPT
At present, there are two major models of NIPT incorporation into clinical practice practiced in many countries.
1. The cohort model: the test is recommended to women at risk based on the results of a 1st trimester screening procedure. In this case, the expenses are fully or partially covered by the federal budget.
2. The commercial model: the test is offered to those pregnant women who can afford it (personal funds or health insurance).
At the moment, vast TRIDENT-2 studies are being carried out in Holland and Denmark to investigate the aspects of NIPT introduction in clinical practice (http://www.meerovernipt.nl); the participants are offered to undergo NIPT instead of 1st trimester screening tests.
Below we provide examples of how NIPT is used in different countries and talk about the regulatory legislation.
United Kingdom
In the UK, 800,000 pregnancies are reported annually. In January 2016, the National Screening Committee operating in the UK [82] recommended to incorporate NIPT into the Fetal Anomaly Screening Program [83]. The guidelines suggest that NIPT should be offered to all women at a high risk for aneuploidy (> 1 : 150) revealed by a combined ultrasound and biochemistry test between weeks 10 and 14 of pregnancy. The efficacy report will be released in 2018–2019. If the test proves to be effective, the number of invasive screening procedures will be reduced and the saved money will be used to subsidize NIPT.
Sweden
In Sweden, 120,000 pregnancies are reported annually. In June 2016, the Swedish Society of Obstetrics and Gynecology issued guidelines [84] recommending NIPT to all women whose risk for aneuploidies inferred from the combined ultrasound and biochemistry test ranges between 1 : 51 and 1 : 1,000 and to those who cannot undergo an invasive diagnostic procedure because of HIV or hepatitis. Caution should be exercised when ordering NIPT for a woman carrying multiples. A high risk for aneuploidy means that invasive diagnostic tests should be performed, whereas for women at low risk standard checkup examinations would be enough. The Society does not recommend NIPT to every pregnant woman because there is no sufficient evidence of the test’s efficacy in every cohort of pregnant patients and because of its high costs.
France
In France, the number of annual pregnancies reaches 800,000. The French Ministry of Health issued its guidelines for prenatal testing in 2017 [85]. Before the advent of NIPT, screening for aneuploidies relied on FMF standards [29]. If the risk for aneuploidy was high (> 1 : 250), invasive diagnostic testing was carried out followed by karyotyping. The expenses were covered by health insurance. According to the recommendations published in 2017, the analysis of circulating cell-free DNA is recommended to women at high risk (from 1 : 1,000 to 1 : 51) for fetal trisomy 21 revealed by 1st trimester ultrasound and biochemistry screening. Pregnant women whose risk for aneuploidy is 1 : 50 or higher should undergo an invasive diagnostic procedure but still can opt for molecular screening first. It is emphasized that NIPT should not be regarded as a substitute for invasive diagnostic testing. The guidelines outline the need for developing a quality control and lab accreditation system. The screening strategy is to be revised in 3 years; among other things, the revision will cover the issues of screening for other aneuploidies and microdeletions.
USA
About 6.35 million pregnancies are reported annually in the USA. The NIPT market is divided between a few major players (see the table) [86].
NIPT expenses are covered by health insurance or a patient’s personal funds. No funding is received from the state.
So far, 4 medical associations have proposed guidelines for NIPT:
• the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists (ACOG), May 2016 [87];
• the International Society for Prenatal Diagnosis, April 2015 [80];
• the National society of Genetic Counselors, October 2016 [88];
• the American College of Medical Genetics and Genomics (ACMG) [89].
The ACMG notes that the evolution of NIPT methods and techniques is so rapid that any currently existing clinical recommendations will become obsolete in just a couple of years. Similar to ACOG, the ACMG guidelines emphasize that all pregnant women should be informed about the possibility of undergoing NIPT and its relative advantages over conventional screening for trisomies 13, 18 and 21. Some experts and manufacturers consider these guidelines as a signal for ordering NIPT for all pregnant women regardless of the results of 1st trimester screening. This interpretation is wrong. ACMG only recommends that pregnant women should be informed of the possibility of undergoing NIPT and provided with all relevant information about the test [86]. Unfortunately, many physicians are unaware of NIPT limitations, tend to misinterpret its results or take wrong decisions. Knowing that, NIPT manufacturers provide their own genetic counseling, which raises a number of questions since the counsellors involved can be biased.
Recently, there has been a rise in the number of patients who test false-positive for sex chromosome aneuploidies. It is imperative that patients should be informed of the situation and explained that clinical outcomes for children with such aneuploidies vary. For example, although the X0 karyotype is a common cause of pregnancy loss, the quality of life of women with Turner syndrome is relatively high.
The guidelines stress that NIPT results should provide accurate information about NIPT specificity, sensitivity, PPV, NPV, and fetal DNA fraction for all types of analyzed mutations (aneuploidies of autosomes, sex chromosomes, CNV).
The most common cause of NIPT failure is low fetal DNA fraction. The low fDNA fraction correlates with a number of fetal aneuploidies [62, 72], meaning that in the case of NIPT failure, the patient should be immediately offered to undergo an invasive diagnostic test instead of repeating NIPT. ACMG does not recommend to use NIPT for detecting microdeletions because no reliable assessment of its specificity and sensitivity has been made so far.
Russia
In Russia, the number of annually reported pregnancies is about 1.8 million. Screening for genetic pathology of the fetus includes biochemistry tests and ultrasound examinations conducted in the 1st trimester. If the revealed risk is 1 : 100, the woman is offered to consult a geneticist and undergo an invasive diagnostic test. All expenses are covered by health insurance and regional budgets [90]. Clinical recommendations on NIPT were published in 2016 [91]; they are largely consistent with the ACMG guidelines mentioned above.
A few obstacles impede NIPT promotion on the Russian market: NIPT is not certified in Russia and almost all MPS reagents and equipment have no marketing authorization in our country.
CONCLUSION
Incorporation of NIPT into clinical practice poses a serious dilemma. If we raise the risk threshold signaling the need for NIPT to a higher value, the doctors who perform invasive testing may lose their skills due to the lack of clients, which will lead to diagnostic inaccuracy. In this case, the detection rate may even become lower than it is now. If we start to offer NIPT to every pregnant woman, the total expenses will soar and become unacceptable even for the most affluent and developed countries. This means that the optimum risk value should be defined at which the balance between the aneuploidy detection rate and the incurred costs will be harmonious.